Commentaries

FX Strategy Briefing: USD/JPY Gains on BOJ Easing Speculation

Featured \ Hans Nilsson \ 7:03 PM EST \ March 10th, 2010
hnilsson

The dollar was higher against the yen but lower versus the euro on Wednesday. China’s exports soared by the most in three years and concerns over Greece’s deficit eased. The US budget deficit rose to a record $220.9 billion in February and wholesale inventories unexpectedly slid in January for a second month. The S&P 500 rose 5.16 to 1,145.61.

Daily Video Recap: Chinese Data Helps Spur Risk Appetite

Fundamental Updates \ Nick Nasad \ 5:19 PM EST \ March 10th, 2010
nnasad

Positive data from China and a strong bond sale by Portugal helped increase risk appetite and boost the Euro against its rivals, while a weak manufacturing report hurt the Pound. Higher yielders were up for the day, with the Yen sliding as a result.

FX Strategy Briefing: Debt Worries Pressure European Currencies

Featured \ Hans Nilsson \ 6:11 PM EST \ March 9th, 2010
hnilsson

While lower against the yen and commodity currencies, the dollar was higher versus the European currencies on Tuesday. The S&P 500 rose 1.95 on the bull market’s 1-year anniversary to 1,140.45, up 69% since hitting a 12-year low of 676.53 one year ago.

Daily Video Recap: Moody’s and Fitch Issue Warnings on UK and Europe Increasing Risk Aversion

Fundamental Updates \ Nick Nasad \ 11:46 AM EST \ March 9th, 2010
nnasad

The Pound slid overnight as Moody’s said UK banks could suffer further write downs and Fitch warned that the UK sovereign credit profile deteriorated. The Euro was pressured by Fitch’s warnings on Portugal and Greece, and with commodities and equities down the greenback and Yen strengthened. Commodity currencies did however get a bounce in the NY morning session.

Market Update: European Summary – Pound and Euro Slide vs Dollar

Fundamental Updates \ Nick Nasad \ 9:41 AM EST \ March 9th, 2010
nnasad

The Dollar was firmer against its major European rivals in overnight trading. The main reason for the risk aversion were downbeat comments from rating agencies on Europe and the UK, and a dissipation of the rally started from last Friday’s non-farm payroll report. In Tuesday’s overnight trading stocks were lower and commodities fell as well.

FX Briefing Strategy: Dollar Likely to Test Resistance

Hans Nilsson \ 6:28 PM EST \ March 8th, 2010
hnilsson

The dollar traded mixed on Monday. The S&P 500 slipped just 0.20 to 1,138.50. The euro pared overnight
gains after Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou said “unprincipled speculators” need to be curtailed to
prevent the fiscal crisis to spread.

Look Ahead: US Fundamental Docket for March 8th-12th

Fundamental Updates \ Nick Nasad \ 2:54 PM EST \ March 8th, 2010
nnasad

This will brings further information on US consumer spending and attitudes, as well as the state of inventories – a sector has been at the forefront of the economic recovery.

Daily Video Recap: Overnight Risk Appetite Gives Way in NY Trading

Fundamental Updates \ Nick Nasad \ 12:20 PM EST \ March 8th, 2010
nnasad

Overnight higher-yielders and growth linked currencies including the Aussie, Kiwi and Euro rose against the Dollar and Yen as equities were higher in Asia and Europe following the better than expected jobs reading in the US on Friday. Also, French President Sarkozy gave the markets some reassurance that EU nations would come to the aid of Greece following its austerity measures announced last week. In NY trading the Euro and Pound gave up their earlier gains as US stocks were flat giving a sense of risk aversion during the NY morning.

FX Strategy Briefing: USD/JPY Gains on BOJ Easing Speculation

Featured \ Hans Nilsson \ 6:04 PM EST \ March 5th, 2010
hnilsson

The dollar fell and riskier assets rose on Friday. US nonfarm payrolls declined less than expected in February
despite harsh East Coast winter storms, pointing to improving US employment conditions and increasing
prospects for strong US economic growth. Bond prices fell while gold and commodity prices climbed.

Daily Video Recap: Less Jobs Lost Than Expected, Risk Appetite Favors Higher Yielders

Fundamental Updates \ Nick Nasad \ 2:14 PM EST \ March 5th, 2010
nnasad

With the US economy losing less jobs in February (-36K) than expected, and the unemployment rate remaining at 9.7%, the forex market showed risk appetite helping to boost higher yielders and commodity/growth linked currencies like the Australian Dollar. The Yen, reclaiming its mantle as top funding currency of carry trade slid during the day.