The markets are aware that too much free or nearly free money is going to cause trouble. Japan’s equity indices saw it first hand this week when their main stock market fell -7.9% during one session. All one has to do is look at our central banks – they seem to be single-mindedly focusing on CPI and jobs while totally disregarding the by-product of quantitative easing – asset inflation. Not making decisions any easier is when a central bank, like…

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Risk aversion seen in Asia is showing little signs of slowing up this morning as we head into the North American session. There has been a rush to safety with both the CHF and Yen higher across the board. The EUR bulls have found some temporary solace from the better than expected run of Euro PMI’s. However, both China and Ben is being blamed for the latest market turbulence.

In his prepared testimony yesterday, the Fed Chairman focused on justifying his…

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Bernanke: He defended QE, warning against premature tightening. But it looks like the turning point has already been reached. There is no talk of expanding QE measures, but rather a discussion on timing being too early. The market put on further USD strength after the testimony in front of the Joint Economic Committee. A lot of USD-crosses continue their recent trend. Because the timing of QE will depend on key economic data…

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St Louis Fed President, James Bullard, a supposed hawk, has been bullying the ‘single’ currency bears into temporary submission ahead of today’s FOMC meeting minutes or at least he should be held responsible for getting the ball rolling. Yesterday, he suggested that the most appropriate policy for the Fed is to continue the current QE3 policy. Dovish comments from the voting hawk has put the ‘mighty’ dollar under pressure when the market least expected it when he mentioned adjusting the…

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EUR/USD has posted some gains on Monday, and the euro is holding its own, as the pair trades in the high-1.28 range. Today’s only Eurozone release is German PPI, which fell below expectations, as the trend of weak German numbers continues. In the US, it’s another quiet day, with no fundamentals being released. However, the markets will get a chance to hear Treasury Secretary Jack Lew as well as two members of the FOMC. The markets are keeping a close as on the US Federal Reserve, which on…

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The market yesterday was a write-off in terms of price action, as a few sovereign nations managed to squeeze in a national holiday in parts of Europe and in Canada. This week’s US fundamental highlight will be delivered tomorrow – the FOMC Minutes from the May 1st meeting and helicopter Ben’s testimony on the Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy before the Joint Economic Committee, in Washington. On the whole, market price actions over the past few-days indicate that a few…

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Is it really the best of a bad lot? Even disappointing PPI and manufacturing data yesterday suggests that the US recovery is somewhat uneven. So far this has not been able to stall the ‘mighty’ dollar’s rally. The dollar bull continues to rely on the last few weeks’ upbeat jobs prints to aid the buck in its quest for higher prices. It was lower energy prices that led US wholesale prices to its biggest decline in the producer price index…

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The recent outperformance of the US economy has the dollar appreciating against most currencies over the past week. Some of the current price levels have a percentage of the market beginning to price in expectations of a “secular USD bull market.” Are they getting ahead of themselves? The dollars job has been made simpler by the various central banks easing up on their monetary policy rules – just look at the RBA. Governor Stevens recent move has currently put the…

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