Anytime we get above forecast and above 200K employment change and decline in unemployment, we get welcoming sign for the US economy. Risk appetite usually leads to pressure for the USD. Indeed we saw that against the commodity currencies like USD/CAD, AUD/USD and NZD/USD where dollar weakness was apparent…However, we have a different reaction in EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, and USD/JPY…
The EUR/USD failed at another attempt to rally above 1.32 in the 2/1 Us session, and fell through the Asian-European session until it came to attack the 1.31 handle. This was also where the 200 hour simple moving average was, and the RSI reading was at 40. These conditions that give support to EUR/USD signal some slight bullish bias, but also reflects the indecision and hesitation…
The Japanese Yen has found some ceiling this week after strengthening sharply at the latter part of January. The CAD/JPY fell from near 77.60 to about 74.75. Although the bullish momentum seen in the 4H chart is killed (RSI went below 40 and even kissed 30), the market still holds a bullish bias. It is respecting the rising trendline drawn from Jan.9, and is respecting the 200 4H simple moving average…
The 1H AUD/JPY chart shows a market that had double bottomed after rallying above the 81.53 resistance pivot. The 1H RSI kissed 70, reflecting bullish momentum, but the market has since fallen from 81.87. It is now at 38.2% retracement of the latest upswing. If the market is to confirm the bullish breakout from this double bottom, the bulls will have to show resolve…
The 4H EUR/GBP chart shows a market breaking below a rising wedge to start this week. Price action was heavy, but the market bounced up from near a previous support pivot at 0.8280. Note that the 61.8% retracement of the wedge pattern was nearby at 0.8290. This pullback came up to test the 200 simple moving average in the 4H chart, cracked it, but then was rejected immediately…
The EUR/CHF market is on it’s way to the first re-test of the 1.20 floor. This is the level the Swiss National Bank has pledged to “defend”. The EUR/CHF has been persistently bearish since falling from the 2012 high near 1.2470 and since Jan. 25th has been trading in a declining channel seen in the 1H chart. A bullish divergence developed over the past couple of sessions…
76.00 is a psychological support for USD/JPY, while the 75.55 level is the record low. The market has been bearish since being rejected sharply at 78.25 as can be seen in the 4H chart. After breaking below a range support at 76.55, the market continued sharply lower until it got near 76.00. The USD/JPY here is oversold according to the RSI in the 4H chart and price action has started to decelerate…
The EUR/USD has flattened out in the short-term though the medium term bias is still bullish. In the 1H chart, we see that the market has started to make lower lows, and has made a lower high. Projected a trendline from the highs and lows, we have a slightly declining consolidation channel. As the market nears 1.32 during the 2/1 US session, it is testing this channel resistance…
The GBP/USD fell in the 1/31 US session and then in the Asian session in an ABC manner. However the 1H chart shows that the decline was held above the 100 hour simple moving average as well as respect the rising trendline. RSI held above 40 reflecting maintenance of bullish momentum especially when it was brought back above 60…
By: Dima Chernovolov EUR/USD has recently completed the Clear Triangle chart pattern identified by Autochartist on the 4-hour charts. The overall Quality of this chart pattern is measured at the 5 bar level as a result of the low Initial Trend (rated at the 3 bar level), above-average Uniformity (6 bars) and near maximum Clarity…
RT @MarvellousR8kie @alaidi Thank you very much for the valuable insights. Great seminar. Thks for coming ! #forex
A MUST For Anyone who Trades FX! Free e-book from BK -Don't Trade Like Tony Montana FX http://t.co/WTBAVCeZ .03
$GBPUSD 240-minute swing entry update video walk-thru http://t.co/Gd2ELB55 #forex $$ $GBPUSD Follows-Through as Greenback Slides Towards Psych Level http://t.co/wVNJGzNH #forex $$ Sandy kicking off the seminar, Ill take over at Noon http://t.co/xrZdNmNC #forex $SPX Pretty much replicated $EURUSD shorts on Thurs nite as on Tue; results were the same, peaks at 1.32 back to hit 13080s targets #forex
Thank you kindly! Have a great weekend. @SE1_Trading @LeeGrins @aussietorres @knmtechnology @esanchez81 (cont) http://t.co/mwArOhWy
Need to launch changes on DailyFX so US traders can watch videos. May take a few days. Meantime US viewers can go here: http://t.co/z54gnUQY Weekend Video (now available to US viewers): AUDUSD and Dow Clear Resistance Post NFPs, EURUSD Anchored http://t.co/eDfHlafs And, there were no fireworks in US crude positioning this past week. But then again, oil held congestion http://t.co/XOKxCq4l We had a notable jump in the net long interest in gold this past week. Feeding into the metal's upswing. http://t.co/9Q5FNffe We've noted the divergence between S&P 500 price and volume. Add to that net speculative positioning. http://t.co/PHLpdOMi We talk about the short-cover potential in EURUSD, but what about the unwinding of this big $AUDUSD long buildup. http://t.co/uHep6hbe In the meantime, here is the $EURUSD versus the net speculative Euro interest. A lot more room for covering here.. http://t.co/d7P0JHsa
weekly http://t.co/FjE1lFRL i WILL be online sunday night during the super bowl after I smoke my ribs on the grill #forex Yet another Friday where $EURUSD is rallying into the close on spec that Greek deal will be done. The US Dollar Index fell far behind this recent build up in net speculative positioning in dollars. http://t.co/vMcNiXT7 Here's the Dow Jones Industrial Average and its respective volume lull as well. http://t.co/e2X4CbFK Too much to expect a multi-month high close on the $S&P 500 to garner greater turnover. http://t.co/vnF8MqmY
Co-chairs of Greek Creditors Committee flying into Athens this w/e - either tough decisions need to be made or a deal is ready to be closed Best performing currency pair today is CADJPY +1.11%, Worst performing is EUR/CAD -0.60% RT @kathylienfx: @Fxflow Congrats on cracking above 8k// thanks K Flow Rules! :) crosses http://t.co/sTJIEdld better opportunities here (still) than in usd imo Awesome Timetable on Greece courtesy of WSJ. Print it out or save the link http://t.co/RnUs2EYX ...great quote from Sebastien Galy at Soc Gen in that article, “The SNB’s hand is being forced and it will likely be fairly brutal.” According to a good FT article on SNB political pressure for solid intervention, the options market is pricing in a 30% chance of 1.20 break EUR net short positions down 8 percent - confirming that shorts were "squeezed" over the past week That's a hearty drop in net dollar long interest from the COT figures. Good indicator for establishing a time frame for dollar's tumble.
This is the stand out figure IMO RT @djfxtrader: Net Yen Long Position $9.3 Billion Increases 30%,according to analysis of CFTC data #forex Here's the risk-trend alternative to the cable channel: $AUDUSD blowing through the potential triple top at 1.0750 http://t.co/q4EgQK8n
#FF The young ones in FX @Hew_Dat @stephensimonis @Lawrence_Fayman @josephrichman @Rebelgt09 @jaredboydfx You can't use rate expectations for the BoE, so here is $GBPUSD versus the UK-US 10yr yield differential. http://t.co/0pq2FBfE We're talking the spread of a crisis state from Greece to Portugal, but Portuguese CDS have pulled back recently. http://t.co/KQ85ZFYl Fed ZIRP 'less' ZIRPy -time for ECB/BoE/BOJ/SNB to play catchup (mkt weighing adj in rate diffs w/risk app)..balance sheets ready to implode
@JamieSaettele thanks buddy!..yep 161.8% projection of wave 3 vs 1 - kiddie stuff :-) Can u believe I will ACTUALLY be watching the Superbowl Sun? Usually I'm at a rest bc its the BEST day of the yr to get those had reserv!
Do now that we're all on LinkedIn, what happens? Do we all get raises? Or do we all hire each other? An hour an change left for the official NY trading session. Looks like we will hold onto these breaks for next week. You can definitely tell those officials that are irked by the 2014 FOMC hold call. Bullard says it was wrong to link it to a specific time. Our clients at Aspen have 1.0820 limits to take profits in AUDUSD to go flat for +225 pip trade. Feds Bullard says Fed may have to raise rates before 2014 and strong data weakens case for QE. He is a non voter on FOMC
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