Anytime we get above forecast and above 200K employment change and decline in unemployment, we get welcoming sign for the US economy. Risk appetite usually leads to pressure for the USD. Indeed we saw that against the commodity currencies like USD/CAD, AUD/USD and NZD/USD where dollar weakness was apparent…However, we have a different reaction in EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, and USD/JPY…
The EUR/USD failed at another attempt to rally above 1.32 in the 2/1 Us session, and fell through the Asian-European session until it came to attack the 1.31 handle. This was also where the 200 hour simple moving average was, and the RSI reading was at 40. These conditions that give support to EUR/USD signal some slight bullish bias, but also reflects the indecision and hesitation…
The EUR/USD has flattened out in the short-term though the medium term bias is still bullish. In the 1H chart, we see that the market has started to make lower lows, and has made a lower high. Projected a trendline from the highs and lows, we have a slightly declining consolidation channel. As the market nears 1.32 during the 2/1 US session, it is testing this channel resistance…
By: Dima Chernovolov EUR/USD has recently completed the Clear Triangle chart pattern identified by Autochartist on the 4-hour charts. The overall Quality of this chart pattern is measured at the 5 bar level as a result of the low Initial Trend (rated at the 3 bar level), above-average Uniformity (6 bars) and near maximum Clarity…
The EUR/USD bounced off the 1.3077 support but failed to reach new highs yesterday, and instead slid during the 1/31 European – US session. The decline was sharp, and it broke the 1.3077 pivot as well as the rising channel, now testing the 1.3050 pivot. Note this was resistance for the Jan 23-25 consolidation, and also the 200 hour simple moving average…
The EUR/USD fell from 1.3233 to start the week, back to important levels that acted as support last week. Now this 1.0370-1.0380 support area is also reinforced by a rising channel support, which means the break below it will be even more significant. Also the difference between this test and last week’s is that the 1H RSI last week respected 40, and kept the bullish momentum, where today…
The corrective decline yesterday did not last long as the market found support in the 1/27 Asian session at the 1.3075-1.3080 pivot area seen more clearly in the 4H chart. The 1H chart shows that this was between 38.2% and 50% retracement of the latest upswing from 1.2930 to 1.3183. The RSI shows that the bullish momentum established from that swing is intact as the reading stayed above 40 and…
Although the EUR/USD showed strength in the early 1/24 US session, the RSI in the 1H chart was not able to come back above 60 and price was unable to push above the previous high near 1.3060. This showed a lack of follow-through in the bullish intent. In the 1/25 European session, the market started falling sharply as reflected by the size of the bearish candles relative to the previous bullish candles…
The EUR/USD is in a correction after initially extending the bull run started at the beginning of the previous week. Over the 1/24 Asian-European session, the market formed a double top, and in the following US session, the market started with a completion of the double top and a follow-through to the downside. The 1H chart above shows the market trading just above the 61.8% retracement level of 1.2946…
RT @MarvellousR8kie @alaidi Thank you very much for the valuable insights. Great seminar. Thks for coming ! #forex
A MUST For Anyone who Trades FX! Free e-book from BK -Don't Trade Like Tony Montana FX http://t.co/WTBAVCeZ .03
$GBPUSD 240-minute swing entry update video walk-thru http://t.co/Gd2ELB55 #forex $$ $GBPUSD Follows-Through as Greenback Slides Towards Psych Level http://t.co/wVNJGzNH #forex $$ Sandy kicking off the seminar, Ill take over at Noon http://t.co/xrZdNmNC #forex $SPX Pretty much replicated $EURUSD shorts on Thurs nite as on Tue; results were the same, peaks at 1.32 back to hit 13080s targets #forex
Thank you kindly! Have a great weekend. @SE1_Trading @LeeGrins @aussietorres @knmtechnology @esanchez81 (cont) http://t.co/mwArOhWy
Need to launch changes on DailyFX so US traders can watch videos. May take a few days. Meantime US viewers can go here: http://t.co/z54gnUQY Weekend Video (now available to US viewers): AUDUSD and Dow Clear Resistance Post NFPs, EURUSD Anchored http://t.co/eDfHlafs And, there were no fireworks in US crude positioning this past week. But then again, oil held congestion http://t.co/XOKxCq4l We had a notable jump in the net long interest in gold this past week. Feeding into the metal's upswing. http://t.co/9Q5FNffe We've noted the divergence between S&P 500 price and volume. Add to that net speculative positioning. http://t.co/PHLpdOMi We talk about the short-cover potential in EURUSD, but what about the unwinding of this big $AUDUSD long buildup. http://t.co/uHep6hbe In the meantime, here is the $EURUSD versus the net speculative Euro interest. A lot more room for covering here.. http://t.co/d7P0JHsa
weekly http://t.co/FjE1lFRL i WILL be online sunday night during the super bowl after I smoke my ribs on the grill #forex Yet another Friday where $EURUSD is rallying into the close on spec that Greek deal will be done. The US Dollar Index fell far behind this recent build up in net speculative positioning in dollars. http://t.co/vMcNiXT7 Here's the Dow Jones Industrial Average and its respective volume lull as well. http://t.co/e2X4CbFK Too much to expect a multi-month high close on the $S&P 500 to garner greater turnover. http://t.co/vnF8MqmY
Co-chairs of Greek Creditors Committee flying into Athens this w/e - either tough decisions need to be made or a deal is ready to be closed Best performing currency pair today is CADJPY +1.11%, Worst performing is EUR/CAD -0.60% RT @kathylienfx: @Fxflow Congrats on cracking above 8k// thanks K Flow Rules! :) crosses http://t.co/sTJIEdld better opportunities here (still) than in usd imo Awesome Timetable on Greece courtesy of WSJ. Print it out or save the link http://t.co/RnUs2EYX ...great quote from Sebastien Galy at Soc Gen in that article, “The SNB’s hand is being forced and it will likely be fairly brutal.” According to a good FT article on SNB political pressure for solid intervention, the options market is pricing in a 30% chance of 1.20 break EUR net short positions down 8 percent - confirming that shorts were "squeezed" over the past week That's a hearty drop in net dollar long interest from the COT figures. Good indicator for establishing a time frame for dollar's tumble.
This is the stand out figure IMO RT @djfxtrader: Net Yen Long Position $9.3 Billion Increases 30%,according to analysis of CFTC data #forex Here's the risk-trend alternative to the cable channel: $AUDUSD blowing through the potential triple top at 1.0750 http://t.co/q4EgQK8n
#FF The young ones in FX @Hew_Dat @stephensimonis @Lawrence_Fayman @josephrichman @Rebelgt09 @jaredboydfx You can't use rate expectations for the BoE, so here is $GBPUSD versus the UK-US 10yr yield differential. http://t.co/0pq2FBfE We're talking the spread of a crisis state from Greece to Portugal, but Portuguese CDS have pulled back recently. http://t.co/KQ85ZFYl Fed ZIRP 'less' ZIRPy -time for ECB/BoE/BOJ/SNB to play catchup (mkt weighing adj in rate diffs w/risk app)..balance sheets ready to implode
@JamieSaettele thanks buddy!..yep 161.8% projection of wave 3 vs 1 - kiddie stuff :-) Can u believe I will ACTUALLY be watching the Superbowl Sun? Usually I'm at a rest bc its the BEST day of the yr to get those had reserv!
Do now that we're all on LinkedIn, what happens? Do we all get raises? Or do we all hire each other? An hour an change left for the official NY trading session. Looks like we will hold onto these breaks for next week. You can definitely tell those officials that are irked by the 2014 FOMC hold call. Bullard says it was wrong to link it to a specific time. Our clients at Aspen have 1.0820 limits to take profits in AUDUSD to go flat for +225 pip trade. Feds Bullard says Fed may have to raise rates before 2014 and strong data weakens case for QE. He is a non voter on FOMC
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