EURUSD aiming higher this week to 1.3505/20 targets

       A resilient, inside pattern pause Monday after a grind higher through last week as we restate our view “we still see upside risk through mid-month to the area defined by the 78.6% retrace of the Q1 sell off and chart high at 1.3505/20”.

       The re-energizing of bullish pressures last week from modest support at 1.3178/75 through interim chart and retrace resistance factors at 1.3318 and 1.3350 favours further gains this week.

       We see a minor target early this week at the 1.3434 failure peak and aim for 1.3505/20 this month.

WHAT CHANGES THIS?

Below 1.3175 eases bull risks; through 1.3040 signals a more neutral tone, only shifting negative below 1.2950/40.

Please download audio-visual analysis here: members.marketchartist.com/LS/EURUSD.pdf


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Channel: The EUR/USD is coming off a bullish week where the pair rallied in a rising channel as seen in the 1H chart. After going above 70, the 1H RSI reading held above 40, showing intact bullish momentum in this time-frame. The momentum has now cooled off, but is not bearish yet. Triangle: Since failing to make a new high and staying above the previous session low on Friday, EUR/USD has began trading in a triangle…

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Bullish trend: In the 1H chart, we see a EUR/USD in an uptrend with bullish momentum. This is reflected by the relative positions of price and moving averages, and the fact that the RSI has tagged 70 and stayed above 40. This is a short-term (2-week) trend that started at the end of May. You can also see that price has been holding above the 100-hour SMA, and is testing it now. Failed high: Throughout this week, the EUR/USD has been able to push to a new high every global session…

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Bullish channel: The EUR/USD has formed a rising channel this week since finding support at 1.3176. The 6/13 session saw further rise in the euro, as EUR/USD pushed to 1.3390 before retreating during the European session. As we get into the US session, we are once again at key support factors in this 1H time-frame. Support factors: The 1.3304 level was a previous resistance pivot and can be anticipated as support…

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MARKET CHARTIST VIEW, 12-June-13

  • A still more resilient consolidation, up just through the top of last Thursday’s strong rally range, which took us above the notable 1.3245 peak, established a short/ intermediate-term base and favours a still more solid tone into June.
  • Whilst above support at 1.3040, we still see upside risk through mid-month to the area defined by the 78.6% retrace of the Q1 sell off and chart high at 1.3505/20.
  • Interim barriers are seen at chart level 1.3318 and 1.3434 and 1.3350 retrace resistance.

WHAT CHANGES THIS?

  • Below 1.3115/00 eases bull risks; through 1.3040 signals a more neutral tone, only shifting negative below 1.2950/40.  

Please download audio-visual analysis here members.marketchartist.com/LS/EURUSD.pdf

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Consolidation: The EUR/USD continues to consolidate after stalling around the 1.33 handle last Friday. It has come down before 1.32, but is basically starting the week oscillating around 1.32. The structure of the consolidation is “flag” like, and looks corrective against the previous upswing. A break above 1.3250 could revive the current short-term uptrend seen in the 1H chart…

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