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Dec 10, 2016

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Market Analysis

Home » Featured » GBPJPY – More Losses In The Cards?

GBPJPY – More Losses In The Cards?

Posted by FXTimes in Featured - February 9th, 2016 12:19 pm GMT

pound-sterling-us-dollar

Key Points

  • British Pound losses continued this week against the Japanese Yen, and it remains at a risk of more downsides.
  • There is an inverse head and shoulders forming on the 4-hours chart of the GBPJPY pair that may ignite losses in the near term.
  • In the UK, the Trade Balance released by National Statistics posted a trade deficit of £-2.357B in December 2015, less than the forecast of £-2.600B.
  • The UK Goods Trade Balance was also above the forecast, and posted a trade deficit of £-9.917B.

Technical Analysis

The GBPJPY pair fell recently and traded below a major support trend line on the 4-hours char to ignite a downside move. The pair is now well below the 100, 200 and 50 simple moving average (H4), which is a bearish sign.

GBPJPY

Also, there is an inverse head and shoulders forming on the 4-hours chart of the GBPJPY pair, which may act as a catalyst for a downside move.

On the upside, the 167.00 area can be seen as a resistance for gains in GBPJPY.

UK Trade Balance

Today, the UK trade balance, which is a balance between exports and imports of goods was released by the National Statistics. The market was a trade deficit of £-2.600B in December 2015. However, the outcome was above the forecast, as the trade deficit was £-2.357B.

The report added that “December 2015 UK trade release is the first opportunity to analyse 2015 as a whole. The UK’s annual trade deficit reached £34.7 billion in 2015; a widening of £0.3 billion from 2014. Over the same period, the goods deficit widened by £1.9 billion to £125.0 billion. The widening was partially offset by an increase in the services surplus, which rose by £1.5 billion to £90.3 billion”.

Overall, the GBPJPY pair remains at a risk of more losses, and buying should be avoided moving ahead.

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