Anytime we get above forecast and above 200K employment change and decline in unemployment, we get welcoming sign for the US economy. Risk appetite usually leads to pressure for the USD. Indeed we saw that against the commodity currencies like USD/CAD, AUD/USD and NZD/USD where dollar weakness was apparent…However, we have a different reaction in EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, and USD/JPY…

The EUR/USD failed at another attempt to rally above 1.32 in the 2/1 Us session, and fell through the Asian-European session until it came to attack the 1.31 handle. This was also where the 200 hour simple moving average was, and the RSI reading was at 40. These conditions that give support to EUR/USD signal some slight bullish bias, but also reflects the indecision and hesitation…

The Japanese Yen has found some ceiling this week after strengthening sharply at the latter part of January. The CAD/JPY fell from near 77.60 to about 74.75. Although the bullish momentum seen in the 4H chart is killed (RSI went below 40 and even kissed 30), the market still holds a bullish bias. It is respecting the rising trendline drawn from Jan.9, and is respecting the 200 4H simple moving average…

The 1H AUD/JPY chart shows a market that had double bottomed after rallying above the 81.53 resistance pivot. The 1H RSI kissed 70, reflecting bullish momentum, but the market has since fallen from 81.87. It is now at 38.2% retracement of the latest upswing. If the market is to confirm the bullish breakout from this double bottom, the bulls will have to show resolve…

The 4H EUR/GBP chart shows a market breaking below a rising wedge to start this week. Price action was heavy, but the market bounced up from near a previous support pivot at 0.8280. Note that the 61.8% retracement of the wedge pattern was nearby at 0.8290. This pullback came up to test the 200 simple moving average in the 4H chart, cracked it, but then was rejected immediately…