Flat, abc correction: The NZD/USD has turned flat since failing to push above 0.87 in April. The 4H chart shows the lower highs since then, although the lows have been in the 0.8350-0.8380 area. End-of-April, start-of-May price action have come down in a couple of swings from 0.8585. It is completing an ABC correction that is 61.8% retracement of the previous upswing. Maybe we will see some near-term support around 0.8440…
Resistance: The EUR/GBP came up from the 0.84 handle again after testing it to end last week and start this one. It is not up near 0.8450 testing a resistance pivot area. It is also challenging the falling trendline from April when it came down from 0.8635. A clear break above 0.8450 should signal at least a near-term bullish outlook, with the 0.85 handle and the pivot area just above that in sight…
Consolidation breakdown: The USD/CAD was consolidating roughly between 1.0050 and 1.0130. During the 5/7 European session, we saw a dip below 1.0050, as the USD/CAD broke down the consolidation support. As we begin the US session, we see a pullback to within the previous consolidation zone, but it remains at the bottom half, which maintains the bearish outlook brought about by the breakdown…
RBA rate cut: The Reserve Bank of Australia cut its official cash rate from 3.0% to a record low of 2.75%. Although the market has priced in a more dovish RBA, a rate cut at this meeting was a bit of a surprise, and the bank also left room for further rate cut as well. The AUD was pressured and the AUD/USD fell below a support since April to challenge a key support area since July 2012…
Price was looking optimistic earlier this week, with bulls able to push higher using last Friday’s close as a launch pad. However, price has ultimately failed to break 99.5 interim resistance, and instead fell back significantly following the slide in Nikkei 225 futures. Price has since stabilized, finding support around 99.0, but nonetheless bulls are trapped below the recent short-term support/resistance around 99.15. Hourly Chart Generally USD/JPY tend to move Nikkei, not the other way round. However given current extraordinary circumstances, where…