Daily Technical Update EUR/GBP Reward-Risk Assessment

Daily \ Fan Yang \ 4:34 PM EST \ November 23rd, 2009
Daily Technical Update
November 23, 2009 (EUR/GBP) Reward-Risk Assessment at Retracement Setup
Please read this important notice before proceeding to analysis

Information and opinions contained in this report are for educational purposes only and do not constitute an investment advice. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. CMS will not accept liability for any loss of profit or damage which may arise directly, indirectly or consequently from use of or reliance on the trading set-ups or any accompanying chart analyses.

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All screenshots are made from VT Trader 2.0 and are of actual market data at the time of the screenshot.

EUR/GBP At Fibonacci Retracement Level
dtu_112309_eurgbp_risk

  • Daily and 4H: The EUR/GBP has reached the 0.9040 area, slightly above the projected 0.9030. (Refer to Daily Technical Update 11.19.2009 EUR/GBP). The market is now topping at this resistance area. We mentioned that an inability to rally above the previous high confirms our bearish outlook.
  • Now we either look at the 1H timeframe or 4H timeframe. For the 1H timeframe, our projection would be a very aggressive one, possibly to 0.8950. But for the 4H timeframe, we see a possible swing projection to 0.8800.
  • The reward-risk assessment shown in the screenshot is for the 4H timeframe.
  • Using 2.5 ATR method, we have an upside of 190 pips to a downside of 130 pips, which is approximately a 1.45:1 reward to risk ratio. Note this is based on the 0.8800 swing target.

Fan Yang
Currency Analyst,
Commodity Trading Advisor

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