Daily Technical Update
March 12, 2010
EUR/USD Test of Rounded Bottom
dtu_031210_eurusdday
  • Daily: The EUR/USD pair continues to be supported above the 1.3450 support. This week, the market closed above 1.35 and appears to be creating a rounded bottom.
  • Today’s rally so far heightens that probability but is still premature to call it a reversal signal. The market needs to break above the declining trendline preferably followed by a pullback. This would confirm a reversal and a target could be the 1.42 area, which is the support from a consolidation zone.
  • 4H: The 4H time-frame shows the market in a current swing breaking out from a triangle pattern. A swing projection is to the 1.3820 area, and the market is nearing.
  • The completion of the rounded bottom is tested here. If the market can eventually break above 1.3820 during this current bullish cycle, the market may go to 1.42.
  • However the momentum is overbought so there might be a slightly correction in the near-term. Then if the market breaks above, get ready for a pullback to confirm.

dtu_031210_eurusd4h

Fan Yang
Currency Analyst
Commodity Trading Advisor

Information and opinions contained in this report are for educational purposes only and do not constitute an investment advice. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. CMS will not accept liability for any loss of profit or damage which may arise directly, indirectly or consequently from use of or reliance on the trading set-ups or any accompanying chart analyses.

Foreign currency trading is not conducted on an exchange. CMS is acting as a counterparty to its clients’ transactions and as a result, CMS’ interests may be in conflict with its clients. Since CMS acts as the buyer or seller in the transaction one should carefully evaluate any trade recommendation provided by CMS or any of its solicitors. Foreign currency trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors.

All screenshots are made from VT Trader 2.0 and are of actual market data at the time of the screenshot.

Comments

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  1. Rating 0
    Commented: March 14th, 2010
    I found the bearish gartley forming on 4h timeframe, so may be retrace about 61.8% is the short target? Here is my chart==>http://forexwinner.ipbfree.com/uploads/ipbfree.com/forexwinner/post-48-1268585217.png Have a nice day.
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