Daily Technical Update
May 7, 2010
EUR/USD Testing Counter-Trend Support
dtu_050710_eurusdjpy
  • USD/JPY 15-min: This is a followup on the earlier update on USD/JPY. The market did break below 91.50, hit 91.00 and found minor support there. Now a rebound, which could be a pullback is forming. Look for topping action as it approaches 50% around 92.50. It already has found minor resistance at 91.77 (38.2%). bit another minor attempt can be anticipated. Also, even if the decline from 91.30 is a correction, there could be a nother swing expected towards the 89.70 (78.6%) area in the near-term.
  • But if the currecnt rally goes above 92.36 (61.8%), we may be back into a bullish mode in the short-term to head towards 94.00.
  • EUR/USD 15-min: This is a followup on the earlier update on EUR/USD. The EUR/USD broke below the rising support, for a counter trend breakout signal, suggesting a bearish continuation. However, minor support was found at 1.2610, and a rally is developing.
  • If this rally goes closes above 1.2725 (61.8% retracement), our bearish outlook is in trouble. But if the current rejection near 78.6% retracement holds, a negative RSI reversal suggests a swing projection to 1.2570 in the near-term.
  • It is hard to imagine that yesterday’s move was glitch-induced and not mainly based on a bigger reason for panic. That is why I remain bearish for USD/JPY and EUR/USD in the short-term.

Fan Yang
Currency Analyst
Commodity Trading Advisor

Information and opinions contained in this report are for educational purposes only and do not constitute an investment advice. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. CMS will not accept liability for any loss of profit or damage which may arise directly, indirectly or consequently from use of or reliance on the trading set-ups or any accompanying chart analyses.

Foreign currency trading is not conducted on an exchange. CMS is acting as a counterparty to its clients’ transactions and as a result, CMS’ interests may be in conflict with its clients. Since CMS acts as the buyer or seller in the transaction one should carefully evaluate any trade recommendation provided by CMS or any of its solicitors. Foreign currency trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors.

All screenshots are made from VT Trader 2.0 and are of actual market data at the time of the screenshot.

Please login to comment. Dont have an account? Register

 

You need to log in to vote

The blog owner requires users to be logged in to be able to vote for this post.

Alternatively, if you do not have an account yet you can create one here.

Powered by Vote It Up