Forex Technical Update
August 20, 2010
Tools:
Simple Moving Average(SMA) 50-period (red), 200-period (bold, gray)
RSI-14 with Simple Moving Average 5-period of RSI attached.
Fibonacci Study
Elliott Wave Principles
Market and Price Action  (patterns, candlesticks)
Multiple Time-Frame Analysis
EUR/USD – Assessing Wave Count
ftu_082010_eurusd4h
  • 4H: EUR/USD was in consolidation, possible a wave 4 in the wave a until the market rejected a rally above 1.29. The decline is likely wave 5 of a so a b wave can be expected to follow. That is my preferred count, which would be followed by a wave c. The RSI during this time should mainly stay below 60.

ftu_082010_eurusdd

  • Day: There is still a bullish count that puts the current decline as wave 4, which should not come down below 1.25.
  • However, if this count is incorrect, and we already have a completed wave I, and we are already in wave II, this decline can extend to 1.22.

Fan Yang
Currency Analyst
Commodity Trading Advisor

Information and opinions contained in this report are for educational purposes only and do not constitute an investment advice. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. FXTimes will not accept liability for any loss of profit or damage which may arise directly, indirectly or consequently from use of or reliance on the trading set-ups or any accompanying chart analyses.

All screenshots are made from VT Trader 2.0 and are of actual market data at the time of the screenshot.

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