Forex Technical Update
August 31, 2010
Tools:
Simple Moving Average(SMA) 50-period (red), 200-period (bold, gray)
RSI-14 with Simple Moving Average 5-period of RSI attached.
Fibonacci Study
Elliott Wave Principles
Market and Price Action  (patterns, candlesticks)
Multiple Time-Frame Analysis
EUR/USD – Sharp Correction Challenges the Bearish Outlook
ftu_083110_eurusd
  • 1H: The EUR/USD started the week bearish and slid above 100 pips before sharply rallying in the European session. Yesterday’s video update and EUR/USD update anticipated a decline towards the 1.2450 area.
  • The bullish swing brought the pairnear 1.2740/50, an important area. The break above 61.8% retracement is already a bad sign for the bearish scenario.
  • This still could be a pullback, although the relative sharpness of the rally to the decline suggests otherwise.
  • The RSI may offer some clue as well. Price level and RSI level is at a point that is challenging the bearish outlook, and there is a “battle” brewing here between bulls and bears.
  • I am very interested to see what happens in the US session today. I believe it is too uncertain to determine until at least after it. I will comment at the end of the session.

Fan Yang
Currency Analyst
Commodity Trading Advisor

Information and opinions contained in this report are for educational purposes only and do not constitute an investment advice. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. FXTimes will not accept liability for any loss of profit or damage which may arise directly, indirectly or consequently from use of or reliance on the trading set-ups or any accompanying chart analyses.

All screenshots are made from VT Trader 2.0 and are of actual market data at the time of the screenshot.

Comments

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  1. Fan Yang
    fyang
    Rating 0
    Commented: August 31st, 2010
    1.2740 holding so far in the US session. A break below 1.2670/60 is needed to confirm bearish continuation after this sharp rally correction. (In the 15-min chart 61.8% retracement of the rally is at 1.2670).
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